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Weekly Tracking Poll: The Predictable Election Bounce

Source: Daily Kos

Nov 06, 2009

Summary

Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 11/2/2009-11/5/2009. All adults. MoE 2% (Last weeks results in parentheses):

FAVORABLEUNFAVORABLENET CHANGEPRESIDENT OBAMA55 (56)38 (36)-3PELOSI:38 (39)53 (53)-1REID:33 (33)56 (55)-1McCONNELL:16 (15)66 (67)+2BOEHNER:15 (13)63 (64)+3CONGRESSIONAL DEMS:40 (41)53 (52)-2CONGRESSIONAL GOPS:15 (14)70 (71)+2 DEMOCRATIC PARTY:42 (43)50 (49)-2REPUBLICAN PARTY:23 (21)66 (68)+4

Full crosstabs here. This poll is updated every Friday morning, and you can see trendline graphs here.

The three week winning streak for Democrats in the Daily Kos State of the Nation tracking poll came to an abrupt end during election week, as the diverging poll numbers (Democratic net favorability increasing, GOP net favorability decreasing) reversed this week.

Across the board, Democrats saw their numbers take a 1-3 point hit on net favorability. The GOP, meanwhile, got a 2-4 point bump in their numbers, softening (though not wiping away) the losses they had suffered over the previous three weeks.

This is not totally unexpected, of course. The GOP has just bee

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